Saha Pathanapibul Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

SPC Stock  THB 59.00  0.50  0.85%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Saha Pathanapibul Public on the next trading day is expected to be 59.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.28. Saha Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Saha Pathanapibul polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Saha Pathanapibul Public as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Saha Pathanapibul Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Saha Pathanapibul Public on the next trading day is expected to be 59.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28, mean absolute percentage error of 0.16, and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.28.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Saha Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Saha Pathanapibul's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Saha Pathanapibul Stock Forecast Pattern

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Saha Pathanapibul Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Saha Pathanapibul's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Saha Pathanapibul's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 59.38 and 60.60, respectively. We have considered Saha Pathanapibul's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
59.00
59.99
Expected Value
60.60
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Saha Pathanapibul stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Saha Pathanapibul stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.2962
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2832
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0048
SAESum of the absolute errors17.2768
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Saha Pathanapibul historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Saha Pathanapibul

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Saha Pathanapibul Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
58.3959.0059.61
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
52.1952.8064.90
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
56.0758.0159.94
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Saha Pathanapibul

For every potential investor in Saha, whether a beginner or expert, Saha Pathanapibul's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Saha Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Saha. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Saha Pathanapibul's price trends.

Saha Pathanapibul Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Saha Pathanapibul stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Saha Pathanapibul could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Saha Pathanapibul by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Saha Pathanapibul Public Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Saha Pathanapibul's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Saha Pathanapibul's current price.

Saha Pathanapibul Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Saha Pathanapibul stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Saha Pathanapibul shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Saha Pathanapibul stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Saha Pathanapibul Public entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Saha Pathanapibul Risk Indicators

The analysis of Saha Pathanapibul's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Saha Pathanapibul's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting saha stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Saha Stock

Saha Pathanapibul financial ratios help investors to determine whether Saha Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Saha with respect to the benefits of owning Saha Pathanapibul security.