SpareBank Pink Sheet Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

SRMGF Stock  USD 12.43  0.00  0.00%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of SpareBank 1 SMN on the next trading day is expected to be 12.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. SpareBank Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of SpareBank's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for SpareBank - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When SpareBank prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in SpareBank price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of SpareBank 1 SMN.

SpareBank Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 2nd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of SpareBank 1 SMN on the next trading day is expected to be 12.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SpareBank Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that SpareBank's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

SpareBank Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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SpareBank Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting SpareBank's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. SpareBank's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 12.43 and 12.43, respectively. We have considered SpareBank's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
12.43
12.43
Expected Value
12.43
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SpareBank pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SpareBank pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past SpareBank observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older SpareBank 1 SMN observations.

Predictive Modules for SpareBank

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SpareBank 1 SMN. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.4312.4312.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.4312.4312.43
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
12.4312.4312.43
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as SpareBank. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against SpareBank's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, SpareBank's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in SpareBank 1 SMN.

Other Forecasting Options for SpareBank

For every potential investor in SpareBank, whether a beginner or expert, SpareBank's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. SpareBank Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in SpareBank. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying SpareBank's price trends.

SpareBank Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with SpareBank pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of SpareBank could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SpareBank by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

SpareBank 1 SMN Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of SpareBank's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of SpareBank's current price.

SpareBank Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how SpareBank pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading SpareBank shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying SpareBank pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify SpareBank 1 SMN entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

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Other Information on Investing in SpareBank Pink Sheet

SpareBank financial ratios help investors to determine whether SpareBank Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SpareBank with respect to the benefits of owning SpareBank security.