Symphony Floating Fund Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

SSF-UN Fund  CAD 7.06  0.05  0.71%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Symphony Floating Rate on the next trading day is expected to be 7.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.29. Symphony Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Symphony Floating stock prices and determine the direction of Symphony Floating Rate's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Symphony Floating's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Symphony Floating simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Symphony Floating Rate are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Symphony Floating Rate prices get older.

Symphony Floating Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Symphony Floating Rate on the next trading day is expected to be 7.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0007, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.29.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Symphony Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Symphony Floating's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Symphony Floating Fund Forecast Pattern

Symphony Floating Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Symphony Floating's Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Symphony Floating's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 6.62 and 7.48, respectively. We have considered Symphony Floating's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
7.06
7.05
Expected Value
7.48
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Symphony Floating fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Symphony Floating fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria109.0109
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0072
MADMean absolute deviation0.0215
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0031
SAESum of the absolute errors1.2914
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Symphony Floating Rate forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Symphony Floating observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Symphony Floating

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Symphony Floating Rate. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Symphony Floating's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.637.067.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.607.037.46
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Symphony Floating

For every potential investor in Symphony, whether a beginner or expert, Symphony Floating's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Symphony Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Symphony. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Symphony Floating's price trends.

Symphony Floating Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Symphony Floating fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Symphony Floating could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Symphony Floating by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Symphony Floating Rate Technical and Predictive Analytics

The fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Symphony Floating's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Symphony Floating's current price.

Symphony Floating Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Symphony Floating fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Symphony Floating shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Symphony Floating fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Symphony Floating Rate entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Symphony Floating Risk Indicators

The analysis of Symphony Floating's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Symphony Floating's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting symphony fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Symphony Floating

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Symphony Floating position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Symphony Floating will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Symphony Fund

  0.840P0000706A RBC Select BalancedPairCorr
  0.840P00007069 RBC PortefeuillePairCorr
  0.720P0001FAU8 TD Comfort BalancedPairCorr
  0.870P00012UCU RBC Global EquityPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Symphony Floating could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Symphony Floating when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Symphony Floating - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Symphony Floating Rate to buy it.
The correlation of Symphony Floating is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Symphony Floating moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Symphony Floating Rate moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Symphony Floating can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Symphony Fund

Symphony Floating financial ratios help investors to determine whether Symphony Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Symphony with respect to the benefits of owning Symphony Floating security.
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