Sitio Royalties Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

STRDelisted Stock  USD 18.12  0.15  0.82%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sitio Royalties Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 18.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.29 and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.68. Sitio Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the value of rsi of Sitio Royalties' share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Sitio Royalties' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Sitio Royalties and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Sitio Royalties' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Sitio Royalties Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Sitio Royalties hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sitio Royalties Corp from the perspective of Sitio Royalties response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sitio Royalties Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 18.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.29 and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.68.

Sitio Royalties after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 18.12  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.

Sitio Royalties Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Sitio price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sitio using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sitio charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Sitio Royalties simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Sitio Royalties Corp are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Sitio Royalties Corp prices get older.

Sitio Royalties Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 22nd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sitio Royalties Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 18.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.29, mean absolute percentage error of 0.22, and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.68.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sitio Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sitio Royalties' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Sitio Royalties Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Sitio RoyaltiesSitio Royalties Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sitio Royalties stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sitio Royalties stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.753
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0281
MADMean absolute deviation0.2946
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.016
SAESum of the absolute errors17.6757
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Sitio Royalties Corp forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Sitio Royalties observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Sitio Royalties

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sitio Royalties Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sitio Royalties' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.1218.1218.12
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.5315.5319.93
Details

Sitio Royalties Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sitio Royalties stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sitio Royalties could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sitio Royalties by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Sitio Royalties Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sitio Royalties stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sitio Royalties shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sitio Royalties stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sitio Royalties Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Sitio Royalties Risk Indicators

The analysis of Sitio Royalties' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sitio Royalties' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sitio stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.
You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.

Other Consideration for investing in Sitio Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Sitio Royalties Corp check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Sitio Royalties' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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