Stelco Holdings Pink Sheet Forecast - Polynomial Regression

STZHF Stock  USD 49.41  0.00  0.00%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Stelco Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 49.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.41 and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.76. Stelco Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Stelco Holdings' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Stelco Holdings polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Stelco Holdings as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Stelco Holdings Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 5th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Stelco Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 49.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.41, mean absolute percentage error of 0.26, and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.76.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Stelco Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Stelco Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Stelco Holdings Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Stelco Holdings pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Stelco Holdings pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.7732
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.4059
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0084
SAESum of the absolute errors24.7579
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Stelco Holdings historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Stelco Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Stelco Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
48.7649.4150.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
47.1847.8354.35
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
48.8649.0549.24
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Stelco Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Stelco Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Stelco Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Stelco Holdings.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

Stelco Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Stelco Holdings pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Stelco Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Stelco Holdings pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Stelco Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Stelco Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of Stelco Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Stelco Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting stelco pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Stelco Pink Sheet

Stelco Holdings financial ratios help investors to determine whether Stelco Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Stelco with respect to the benefits of owning Stelco Holdings security.