TrueBlue Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

TBI Stock  USD 7.14  0.11  1.56%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of TrueBlue on the next trading day is expected to be 7.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.29 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.94. TrueBlue Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of TrueBlue's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
As of now, TrueBlue's Asset Turnover is decreasing as compared to previous years. . The TrueBlue's current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to increase to about 33.9 M. The TrueBlue's current Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is estimated to increase to about 75.2 M.
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for TrueBlue is based on a synthetically constructed TrueBluedaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

TrueBlue 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of TrueBlue on the next trading day is expected to be 7.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.29, mean absolute percentage error of 0.13, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.94.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict TrueBlue Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that TrueBlue's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

TrueBlue Stock Forecast Pattern

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TrueBlue Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting TrueBlue's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. TrueBlue's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4.51 and 10.21, respectively. We have considered TrueBlue's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
7.14
7.36
Expected Value
10.21
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of TrueBlue stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent TrueBlue stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria79.2908
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.1346
MADMean absolute deviation0.2912
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0399
SAESum of the absolute errors11.9375
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. TrueBlue 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for TrueBlue

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TrueBlue. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.287.139.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.4310.4113.26
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
18.2020.0022.20
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as TrueBlue. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against TrueBlue's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, TrueBlue's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in TrueBlue.

Other Forecasting Options for TrueBlue

For every potential investor in TrueBlue, whether a beginner or expert, TrueBlue's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. TrueBlue Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in TrueBlue. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying TrueBlue's price trends.

TrueBlue Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with TrueBlue stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of TrueBlue could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing TrueBlue by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

TrueBlue Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of TrueBlue's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of TrueBlue's current price.

TrueBlue Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how TrueBlue stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading TrueBlue shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying TrueBlue stock market strength indicators, traders can identify TrueBlue entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

TrueBlue Risk Indicators

The analysis of TrueBlue's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in TrueBlue's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting trueblue stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether TrueBlue offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of TrueBlue's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Trueblue Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Trueblue Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TrueBlue to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in TrueBlue Stock please use our How to Invest in TrueBlue guide.
You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.
Is Human Resource & Employment Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of TrueBlue. If investors know TrueBlue will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about TrueBlue listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.63)
Earnings Share
(3.83)
Revenue Per Share
54.77
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.19)
Return On Assets
(0.02)
The market value of TrueBlue is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of TrueBlue that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of TrueBlue's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is TrueBlue's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because TrueBlue's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect TrueBlue's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between TrueBlue's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if TrueBlue is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, TrueBlue's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.