Top KingWin Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

TCJHDelisted Stock   0.39  0.01  2.50%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Top KingWin Ltd on the next trading day is expected to be 0.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.56. Top Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Top KingWin's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Top KingWin is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Top KingWin Ltd value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Top KingWin Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Top KingWin Ltd on the next trading day is expected to be 0.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.56.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Top Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Top KingWin's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Top KingWin Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Top KingWinTop KingWin Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Top KingWin Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Top KingWin's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Top KingWin's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 14.17, respectively. We have considered Top KingWin's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.39
0.40
Expected Value
14.17
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Top KingWin stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Top KingWin stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.1333
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0414
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0972
SAESum of the absolute errors2.5642
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Top KingWin Ltd. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Top KingWin. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Top KingWin

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Top KingWin. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.3814.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.3614.14
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Top KingWin

For every potential investor in Top, whether a beginner or expert, Top KingWin's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Top Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Top. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Top KingWin's price trends.

Top KingWin Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Top KingWin stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Top KingWin could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Top KingWin by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Top KingWin Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Top KingWin's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Top KingWin's current price.

Top KingWin Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Top KingWin stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Top KingWin shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Top KingWin stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Top KingWin Ltd entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Top KingWin Risk Indicators

The analysis of Top KingWin's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Top KingWin's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting top stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Top KingWin to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Top Stock please use our How to Invest in Top KingWin guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.

Other Consideration for investing in Top Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Top KingWin check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Top KingWin's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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