Oxurion NV Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

TG4 Stock  EUR 0.28  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Oxurion NV on the next trading day is expected to be 0.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.10. Oxurion Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Oxurion NV's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Oxurion NV is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Oxurion NV value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Oxurion NV Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Oxurion NV on the next trading day is expected to be 0.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.10.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Oxurion Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Oxurion NV's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Oxurion NV Stock Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Oxurion NV stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Oxurion NV stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.1344
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0344
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.068
SAESum of the absolute errors2.1006
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Oxurion NV. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Oxurion NV. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Oxurion NV

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oxurion NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.2810.52
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Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.2710.51
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Oxurion NV Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Oxurion NV stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Oxurion NV could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Oxurion NV by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Oxurion NV Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Oxurion NV stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Oxurion NV shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Oxurion NV stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Oxurion NV entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Oxurion NV Risk Indicators

The analysis of Oxurion NV's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Oxurion NV's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting oxurion stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Oxurion Stock

Oxurion NV financial ratios help investors to determine whether Oxurion Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Oxurion with respect to the benefits of owning Oxurion NV security.