Celestia Crypto Coin Forecast - Naive Prediction

TIA Crypto  USD 8.13  0.09  1.12%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Celestia on the next trading day is expected to be 9.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.47 and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.84. Celestia Crypto Coin Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Celestia crypto prices and determine the direction of Celestia's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Celestia's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Celestia is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Celestia value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Celestia Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 1st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Celestia on the next trading day is expected to be 9.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.47, mean absolute percentage error of 0.30, and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.84.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Celestia Crypto Coin prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Celestia's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Celestia Crypto Coin Forecast Pattern

Celestia Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Celestia's Crypto Coin value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Celestia's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2.89 and 16.77, respectively. We have considered Celestia's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
8.13
9.83
Expected Value
16.77
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Celestia crypto coin data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Celestia crypto coin, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.7327
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.4651
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.083
SAESum of the absolute errors28.837
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Celestia. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Celestia. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Celestia

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Celestia. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the crypto coin market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the crypto coin market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.198.1315.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.326.4013.34
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Celestia

For every potential investor in Celestia, whether a beginner or expert, Celestia's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Celestia Crypto Coin price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Celestia. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Celestia's price trends.

Celestia Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Celestia crypto coin to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Celestia could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Celestia by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Celestia Technical and Predictive Analytics

The crypto coin market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Celestia's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Celestia's current price.

Celestia Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Celestia crypto coin reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Celestia shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Celestia crypto coin market strength indicators, traders can identify Celestia entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Celestia Risk Indicators

The analysis of Celestia's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Celestia's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting celestia crypto coin prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Celestia offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Celestia's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Celestia Crypto.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Celestia to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Celestia's coin value and its market price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Cryptocurrency investors typically determine Celestia value by looking at such factors as its true mass adoption, usability, application, safety as well as its ability to resist fraud and manipulation. On the other hand, Celestia's price is the amount at which it trades on the cryptocurrency exchange or other digital marketplace that truly represents its supply and demand.