Tokyu REIT Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

TKURFDelisted Stock  USD 1,379  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Tokyu REIT on the next trading day is expected to be 1,397 with a mean absolute deviation of 137.56 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8,391. Tokyu Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Tokyu REIT's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Tokyu REIT is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Tokyu REIT value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Tokyu REIT Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 1st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Tokyu REIT on the next trading day is expected to be 1,397 with a mean absolute deviation of 137.56, mean absolute percentage error of 46,824, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8,391.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Tokyu Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Tokyu REIT's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Tokyu REIT Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Tokyu REIT pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Tokyu REIT pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria128.8647
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation137.5589
MAPEMean absolute percentage error9.223372036854776E14
SAESum of the absolute errors8391.0941
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Tokyu REIT. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Tokyu REIT. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Tokyu REIT

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tokyu REIT. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,3791,3791,379
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
313.28313.281,516
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
1,3791,3791,379
Details

Tokyu REIT Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Tokyu REIT pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Tokyu REIT could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Tokyu REIT by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Tokyu REIT Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Tokyu REIT pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Tokyu REIT shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Tokyu REIT pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Tokyu REIT entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Tokyu REIT Risk Indicators

The analysis of Tokyu REIT's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Tokyu REIT's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tokyu pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.

Other Consideration for investing in Tokyu Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in Tokyu REIT check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Tokyu REIT's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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