Just Eat Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

TKWY Stock  EUR 14.78  0.29  2.00%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Just Eat Takeaway on the next trading day is expected to be 14.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.45 and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.03. Just Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for Just Eat Takeaway is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Just Eat 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Just Eat Takeaway on the next trading day is expected to be 14.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.45, mean absolute percentage error of 0.43, and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.03.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Just Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Just Eat's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Just Eat Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Just EatJust Eat Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Just Eat Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Just Eat's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Just Eat's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.37 and 18.08, respectively. We have considered Just Eat's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
14.78
14.72
Expected Value
18.08
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Just Eat stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Just Eat stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.7617
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.1023
MADMean absolute deviation0.4488
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0358
SAESum of the absolute errors26.03
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Just Eat. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Just Eat Takeaway and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Just Eat

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Just Eat Takeaway. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.4314.7818.13
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.1811.5314.88
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
9.2212.5915.96
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Just Eat

For every potential investor in Just, whether a beginner or expert, Just Eat's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Just Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Just. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Just Eat's price trends.

Just Eat Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Just Eat stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Just Eat could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Just Eat by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Just Eat Takeaway Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Just Eat's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Just Eat's current price.

Just Eat Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Just Eat stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Just Eat shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Just Eat stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Just Eat Takeaway entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Just Eat Risk Indicators

The analysis of Just Eat's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Just Eat's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting just stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
Explore Investing Ideas  

Additional Tools for Just Stock Analysis

When running Just Eat's price analysis, check to measure Just Eat's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Just Eat is operating at the current time. Most of Just Eat's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Just Eat's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Just Eat's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Just Eat to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.