Teladan Prima Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

TLDN Stock   515.00  10.00  1.90%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Teladan Prima Agro on the next trading day is expected to be 558.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 22.94 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,399. Teladan Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Teladan Prima price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Teladan Prima Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Teladan Prima Agro on the next trading day is expected to be 558.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 22.94, mean absolute percentage error of 785.49, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,399.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Teladan Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Teladan Prima's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Teladan Prima Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Teladan PrimaTeladan Prima Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Teladan Prima Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Teladan Prima's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Teladan Prima's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 556.33 and 561.40, respectively. We have considered Teladan Prima's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
515.00
556.33
Downside
558.87
Expected Value
561.40
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Teladan Prima stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Teladan Prima stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria124.7768
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation22.9365
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0435
SAESum of the absolute errors1399.1243
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Teladan Prima Agro historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Teladan Prima

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Teladan Prima Agro. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
512.47515.00517.53
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
419.77422.30566.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
504.21538.54572.88
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Teladan Prima

For every potential investor in Teladan, whether a beginner or expert, Teladan Prima's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Teladan Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Teladan. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Teladan Prima's price trends.

Teladan Prima Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Teladan Prima stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Teladan Prima could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Teladan Prima by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Teladan Prima Agro Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Teladan Prima's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Teladan Prima's current price.

Teladan Prima Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Teladan Prima stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Teladan Prima shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Teladan Prima stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Teladan Prima Agro entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Teladan Prima Risk Indicators

The analysis of Teladan Prima's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Teladan Prima's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting teladan stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Teladan Stock

Teladan Prima financial ratios help investors to determine whether Teladan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Teladan with respect to the benefits of owning Teladan Prima security.