Telsys Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

TLSY Stock  ILS 16,200  550.00  3.28%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Telsys on the next trading day is expected to be 16,200 with a mean absolute deviation of 353.75 and the sum of the absolute errors of 21,225. Telsys Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Telsys stock prices and determine the direction of Telsys's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Telsys' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A two period moving average forecast for Telsys is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Telsys Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Telsys on the next trading day is expected to be 16,200 with a mean absolute deviation of 353.75, mean absolute percentage error of 374,520, and the sum of the absolute errors of 21,225.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Telsys Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Telsys' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Telsys Stock Forecast Pattern

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Telsys Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Telsys' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Telsys' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 16,196 and 16,204, respectively. We have considered Telsys' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
16,200
16,196
Downside
16,200
Expected Value
16,204
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Telsys stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Telsys stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria129.106
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 41.8994
MADMean absolute deviation353.7508
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0209
SAESum of the absolute errors21225.045
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Telsys price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Telsys. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Telsys

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Telsys. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16,19616,20016,204
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13,82513,82817,820
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
15,80617,68319,560
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Telsys

For every potential investor in Telsys, whether a beginner or expert, Telsys' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Telsys Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Telsys. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Telsys' price trends.

Telsys Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Telsys stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Telsys could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Telsys by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Telsys Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Telsys' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Telsys' current price.

Telsys Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Telsys stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Telsys shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Telsys stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Telsys entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Telsys Risk Indicators

The analysis of Telsys' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Telsys' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting telsys stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Telsys Stock

Telsys financial ratios help investors to determine whether Telsys Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Telsys with respect to the benefits of owning Telsys security.