Touchmark Bancshares Pink Sheet Forecast - Polynomial Regression

TMAK Stock  USD 8.00  0.31  4.03%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Touchmark Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 7.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.68. Touchmark Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Touchmark Bancshares polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Touchmark Bancshares as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Touchmark Bancshares Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 2nd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Touchmark Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 7.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.68.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Touchmark Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Touchmark Bancshares' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Touchmark Bancshares Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Touchmark BancsharesTouchmark Bancshares Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Touchmark Bancshares Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Touchmark Bancshares' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Touchmark Bancshares' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 6.01 and 8.68, respectively. We have considered Touchmark Bancshares' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
8.00
7.35
Expected Value
8.68
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Touchmark Bancshares pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Touchmark Bancshares pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.304
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1914
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0222
SAESum of the absolute errors11.676
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Touchmark Bancshares historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Touchmark Bancshares

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Touchmark Bancshares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.668.009.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.008.349.68
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Touchmark Bancshares. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Touchmark Bancshares' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Touchmark Bancshares' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Touchmark Bancshares.

Other Forecasting Options for Touchmark Bancshares

For every potential investor in Touchmark, whether a beginner or expert, Touchmark Bancshares' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Touchmark Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Touchmark. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Touchmark Bancshares' price trends.

Touchmark Bancshares Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Touchmark Bancshares pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Touchmark Bancshares could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Touchmark Bancshares by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Touchmark Bancshares Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Touchmark Bancshares' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Touchmark Bancshares' current price.

Touchmark Bancshares Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Touchmark Bancshares pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Touchmark Bancshares shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Touchmark Bancshares pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Touchmark Bancshares entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Touchmark Bancshares Risk Indicators

The analysis of Touchmark Bancshares' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Touchmark Bancshares' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting touchmark pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!

The Portfolio Architect is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.

Try AI Portfolio Architect

Other Information on Investing in Touchmark Pink Sheet

Touchmark Bancshares financial ratios help investors to determine whether Touchmark Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Touchmark with respect to the benefits of owning Touchmark Bancshares security.