TODS SpA Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

TODGF Stock  USD 37.65  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of TODS SpA on the next trading day is expected to be 37.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. TODS Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of TODS SpA's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for TODS SpA is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of TODS SpA value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

TODS SpA Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of TODS SpA on the next trading day is expected to be 37.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict TODS Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that TODS SpA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

TODS SpA Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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TODS SpA Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting TODS SpA's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. TODS SpA's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 37.65 and 37.65, respectively. We have considered TODS SpA's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
37.65
37.65
Expected Value
37.65
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of TODS SpA pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent TODS SpA pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria57.6841
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of TODS SpA. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict TODS SpA. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for TODS SpA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TODS SpA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
37.6537.6537.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
37.6537.6537.65
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
37.6537.6537.65
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as TODS SpA. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against TODS SpA's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, TODS SpA's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in TODS SpA.

Other Forecasting Options for TODS SpA

For every potential investor in TODS, whether a beginner or expert, TODS SpA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. TODS Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in TODS. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying TODS SpA's price trends.

TODS SpA Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with TODS SpA pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of TODS SpA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing TODS SpA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

TODS SpA Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of TODS SpA's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of TODS SpA's current price.

TODS SpA Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how TODS SpA pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading TODS SpA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying TODS SpA pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify TODS SpA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in TODS Pink Sheet

TODS SpA financial ratios help investors to determine whether TODS Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TODS with respect to the benefits of owning TODS SpA security.