Toho Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

TOH Stock  EUR 14.68  0.00  0.00%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Toho Co on the next trading day is expected to be 14.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.26. Toho Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Toho's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Toho - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Toho prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Toho price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Toho.

Toho Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 8th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Toho Co on the next trading day is expected to be 14.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.26.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Toho Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Toho's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Toho Stock Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Toho stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Toho stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0102
MADMean absolute deviation0.1569
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0105
SAESum of the absolute errors9.26
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Toho observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Toho Co observations.

Predictive Modules for Toho

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Toho. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.6814.6814.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.2114.8114.81
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
13.9614.6915.41
Details

Toho Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Toho stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Toho could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Toho by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Toho Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Toho stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Toho shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Toho stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Toho Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Toho Stock

Toho financial ratios help investors to determine whether Toho Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Toho with respect to the benefits of owning Toho security.