Third Point Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction
| TPNTFDelisted Stock | USD 20.20 0.00 0.00% |
Third Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Third Point's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 26th of January 2026, the relative strength index (RSI) of Third Point's share price is approaching 31. This usually implies that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Third Point, making its price go up or down. Momentum 31
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Third Point hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Third Point Investors from the perspective of Third Point response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Third Point Investors on the next trading day is expected to be 20.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.46 and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.02. Third Point after-hype prediction price | USD 20.2 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Third |
Third Point Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Third price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Third using various technical indicators. When you analyze Third charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Third Point Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Third Point Investors on the next trading day is expected to be 20.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.46, mean absolute percentage error of 0.43, and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.02.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Third Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Third Point's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Third Point Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Third Point | Third Point Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Third Point pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Third Point pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.2604 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4593 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.019 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 28.0184 |
Predictive Modules for Third Point
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Third Point Investors. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Third Point's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Third Point After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Third Point at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Third Point or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Third Point, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Third Point Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Third Point's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Third Point's historical news coverage. Third Point's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 20.20 and 20.20, respectively. We have considered Third Point's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Third Point is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Third Point Investors is based on 3 months time horizon.
Third Point Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Third Point is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Third Point backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Third Point, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
20.20 | 20.20 | 0.00 |
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Third Point Hype Timeline
Third Point Investors is at this time traded for 20.20. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Third is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Third Point is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.20. About 31.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.12. Third Point Investors had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be within a week. Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in producer price index.Third Point Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Third Point's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Third Point's future price movements. Getting to know how Third Point's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Third Point may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FRFZF | Fairfax Financial Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| BRSGF | Queens Road Capital | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.20 | 6.04 | 0.00 | 29.38 | |
| FZRO | FlashZero Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| RGLG | UHF Logistics Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| DXBGY | Dexia SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CINV | Crucial Innovations Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| HLAN | Heartland Banccorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| FAXRF | Fairfax Financial Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| HGDPF | SpareBank 1 Helgeland | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| AULRF | AURELIUS Equity Opportunities | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Third Point Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Third Point pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Third Point could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Third Point by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Third Point Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Third Point pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Third Point shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Third Point pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Third Point Investors entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Story Coverage note for Third Point
The number of cover stories for Third Point depends on current market conditions and Third Point's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Third Point is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Third Point's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in producer price index. You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
Other Consideration for investing in Third Pink Sheet
If you are still planning to invest in Third Point Investors check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Third Point's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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