Texas Gulf Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

TXGEDelisted Stock  USD 3,316  84.38  2.61%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Texas Gulf Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 3,497 with a mean absolute deviation of 131.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7,993. Texas Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Texas Gulf stock prices and determine the direction of Texas Gulf Energy's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Texas Gulf's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Texas Gulf's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Texas Gulf's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Texas Gulf and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Texas Gulf's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Texas Gulf Energy, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Texas Gulf hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Texas Gulf Energy from the perspective of Texas Gulf response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Texas Gulf Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 3,497 with a mean absolute deviation of 131.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7,993.

Texas Gulf after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 3316.21  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.

Texas Gulf Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Texas price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Texas using various technical indicators. When you analyze Texas charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Texas Gulf is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Texas Gulf Energy value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Texas Gulf Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Texas Gulf Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 3,497 with a mean absolute deviation of 131.03, mean absolute percentage error of 143,251, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7,993.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Texas Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Texas Gulf's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Texas Gulf Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Texas GulfTexas Gulf Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Texas Gulf pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Texas Gulf pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria129.9829
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation131.0349
MAPEMean absolute percentage error463995.0692
SAESum of the absolute errors7993.1306
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Texas Gulf Energy. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Texas Gulf. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Texas Gulf

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Texas Gulf Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3,3163,3163,316
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,1142,1143,648
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
1,8422,9594,076
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Texas Gulf. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Texas Gulf's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Texas Gulf's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Texas Gulf Energy.

Texas Gulf Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Texas Gulf pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Texas Gulf could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Texas Gulf by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Texas Gulf Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Texas Gulf pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Texas Gulf shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Texas Gulf pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Texas Gulf Energy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Texas Gulf Risk Indicators

The analysis of Texas Gulf's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Texas Gulf's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting texas pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Mean Deviation8.866142956E7
Standard Deviation3.656851129E8
Variance9.223372036854776E16
Downside Variance373.89
Semi Variance(45,715,888)
Expected Short fall(82,523,332)
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
You can also try the Crypto Correlations module to use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins.

Other Consideration for investing in Texas Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in Texas Gulf Energy check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Texas Gulf's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
Portfolio Suggestion
Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios
Investing Opportunities
Build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences
Earnings Calls
Check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges
Sectors
List of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities
Stocks Directory
Find actively traded stocks across global markets
Latest Portfolios
Quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios
Financial Widgets
Easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets
Competition Analyzer
Analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities
AI Portfolio Prophet
Use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities