Thumzup Media OTC Stock Forward View

TZUPDelisted Stock  USD 4.55  0.35  7.14%   
Thumzup OTC Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today, The value of RSI of Thumzup Media's share price is at 53. This usually implies that the otc stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Thumzup Media, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 53

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Thumzup Media stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Thumzup Media shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Thumzup Media's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Thumzup Media and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Thumzup Media's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Thumzup Media, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Thumzup Media hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Thumzup Media from the perspective of Thumzup Media response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Thumzup Media on the next trading day is expected to be 4.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.17.

Thumzup Media after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 4.68  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any otc stock could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in manufacturing.

Thumzup Media Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Thumzup price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Thumzup using various technical indicators. When you analyze Thumzup charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Thumzup Media is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Thumzup Media value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Thumzup Media Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 25th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Thumzup Media on the next trading day is expected to be 4.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.17.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Thumzup OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Thumzup Media's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Thumzup Media OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Thumzup Media  Thumzup Media Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Thumzup Media otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Thumzup Media otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.1328
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1831
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.042
SAESum of the absolute errors11.1706
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Thumzup Media. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Thumzup Media. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Thumzup Media

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Thumzup Media. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Thumzup Media's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.234.6813.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.193.7712.51
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
-6.264.685.23
Details

Thumzup Media After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Thumzup Media at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Thumzup Media or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Thumzup Media, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Thumzup Media Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Thumzup Media's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Thumzup Media's historical news coverage. Thumzup Media's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.23 and 13.42, respectively. We have considered Thumzup Media's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
4.55
4.68
After-hype Price
13.42
Upside
Thumzup Media is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Thumzup Media is based on 3 months time horizon.

Thumzup Media OTC Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Thumzup Media is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Thumzup Media backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Thumzup Media, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  1.07 
8.74
  0.13 
  0.05 
24 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
In about 24 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
4.55
4.68
2.86 
7,283  
Notes

Thumzup Media Hype Timeline

Thumzup Media is at this time traded for 4.55. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.13, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. Thumzup is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 4.68 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 2.86%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 1.07%. The volatility of related hype on Thumzup Media is about 17728.19%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.50. Thumzup Media currently holds 215.3 K in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.53, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 24 days.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any otc stock could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in manufacturing.

Thumzup Media Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Thumzup Media's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Thumzup Media's future price movements. Getting to know how Thumzup Media's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Thumzup Media may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Thumzup Media Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Thumzup Media otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Thumzup Media could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Thumzup Media by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Thumzup Media Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Thumzup Media otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Thumzup Media shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Thumzup Media otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Thumzup Media entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Thumzup Media Risk Indicators

The analysis of Thumzup Media's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Thumzup Media's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting thumzup otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Thumzup Media

The number of cover stories for Thumzup Media depends on current market conditions and Thumzup Media's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Thumzup Media is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Thumzup Media's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any otc stock could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in manufacturing.
You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.

Other Consideration for investing in Thumzup OTC Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Thumzup Media check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Thumzup Media's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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