United Communications Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction
| UCPADelisted Stock | USD 13.09 0.00 0.00% |
United Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast United Communications stock prices and determine the direction of United Communications Partners's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of United Communications' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of United Communications' pink sheet price is about 61. This usually implies that the pink sheet is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling United, making its price go up or down. Momentum 61
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using United Communications hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of United Communications Partners from the perspective of United Communications response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of United Communications Partners on the next trading day is expected to be 13.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.11. United Communications after-hype prediction price | USD 13.09 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
United |
United Communications Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine United price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for United using various technical indicators. When you analyze United charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
United Communications Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of United Communications Partners on the next trading day is expected to be 13.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.11.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict United Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that United Communications' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
United Communications Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest United Communications | United Communications Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of United Communications pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent United Communications pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.1767 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0674 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0053 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 4.1106 |
Predictive Modules for United Communications
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as United Communications. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.United Communications After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of United Communications at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in United Communications or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of United Communications, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
United Communications Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting United Communications' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on United Communications' historical news coverage. United Communications' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 13.09 and 13.09, respectively. We have considered United Communications' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
United Communications is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of United Communications is based on 3 months time horizon.
United Communications Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as United Communications is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading United Communications backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with United Communications, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Any time |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
13.09 | 13.09 | 0.00 |
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United Communications Hype Timeline
United Communications is at this time traded for 13.09. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. United is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on United Communications is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.09. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.09. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. United Communications had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 20:1 split on the 18th of August 2009. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be any time. Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation.United Communications Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to United Communications' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict United Communications' future price movements. Getting to know how United Communications' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how United Communications may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VYBE | Limitless X Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 12.02 | 0.15 | 47.22 | (22.22) | 108.11 | |
| TLLYF | Trilogy International Partners | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| TRMNF | New Wave Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.01 | 0.19 | 8.33 | (4.35) | 22.25 | |
| INCT | InCapta | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| BYLG | Bylog Group Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| BBTVF | BBTV Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| LTES | Leet Technology | 0.00 | 0 per month | 45.00 | 0.24 | 975.76 | (80.00) | 4,443 | |
| FBOP | Media Central | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CEENF | UpSnap Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ATXMF | Advantex Marketing International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
United Communications Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with United Communications pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of United Communications could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing United Communications by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
United Communications Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how United Communications pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading United Communications shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying United Communications pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify United Communications Partners entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
United Communications Risk Indicators
The analysis of United Communications' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in United Communications' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting united pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.5508 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.7482 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.763 | |||
| Variance | 0.5821 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.8161 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.5598 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.59) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for United Communications
The number of cover stories for United Communications depends on current market conditions and United Communications' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that United Communications is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about United Communications' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation. You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.
Other Consideration for investing in United Pink Sheet
If you are still planning to invest in United Communications check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the United Communications' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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