PT Unilever Pink Sheet Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

UNLRF Stock  USD 0.11  0.01  8.33%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of PT Unilever Indonesia on the next trading day is expected to be 0.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.16. UNLRF Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of PT Unilever's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
An 8-period moving average forecast model for PT Unilever is based on an artificially constructed time series of PT Unilever daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

PT Unilever 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of PT Unilever Indonesia on the next trading day is expected to be 0.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000034, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.16.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict UNLRF Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that PT Unilever's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

PT Unilever Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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PT Unilever Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting PT Unilever's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. PT Unilever's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 2.31, respectively. We have considered PT Unilever's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.11
0.12
Expected Value
2.31
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of PT Unilever pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent PT Unilever pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria93.1319
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.003
MADMean absolute deviation0.003
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0247
SAESum of the absolute errors0.1612
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. PT Unilever Indonesia 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for PT Unilever

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PT Unilever Indonesia. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.112.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.102.30
Details

Other Forecasting Options for PT Unilever

For every potential investor in UNLRF, whether a beginner or expert, PT Unilever's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. UNLRF Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in UNLRF. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying PT Unilever's price trends.

PT Unilever Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with PT Unilever pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of PT Unilever could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PT Unilever by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

PT Unilever Indonesia Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of PT Unilever's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of PT Unilever's current price.

PT Unilever Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how PT Unilever pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading PT Unilever shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying PT Unilever pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify PT Unilever Indonesia entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

PT Unilever Risk Indicators

The analysis of PT Unilever's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in PT Unilever's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting unlrf pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in UNLRF Pink Sheet

PT Unilever financial ratios help investors to determine whether UNLRF Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in UNLRF with respect to the benefits of owning PT Unilever security.