Upsales Technology Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

UPSALE Stock  SEK 29.00  1.20  3.97%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Upsales Technology AB on the next trading day is expected to be 29.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.95 and the sum of the absolute errors of 50.55. Upsales Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Upsales Technology stock prices and determine the direction of Upsales Technology AB's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Upsales Technology's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Upsales Technology is based on an artificially constructed time series of Upsales Technology daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Upsales Technology 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Upsales Technology AB on the next trading day is expected to be 29.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.95, mean absolute percentage error of 1.25, and the sum of the absolute errors of 50.55.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Upsales Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Upsales Technology's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Upsales Technology Stock Forecast Pattern

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Upsales Technology Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Upsales Technology's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Upsales Technology's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 27.25 and 31.30, respectively. We have considered Upsales Technology's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
29.00
29.27
Expected Value
31.30
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Upsales Technology stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Upsales Technology stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria103.6295
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.6099
MADMean absolute deviation0.9538
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0294
SAESum of the absolute errors50.55
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Upsales Technology AB 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Upsales Technology

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Upsales Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.9829.0031.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.5925.6131.90
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
28.1732.3036.42
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Upsales Technology

For every potential investor in Upsales, whether a beginner or expert, Upsales Technology's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Upsales Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Upsales. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Upsales Technology's price trends.

Upsales Technology Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Upsales Technology stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Upsales Technology could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Upsales Technology by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Upsales Technology Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Upsales Technology's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Upsales Technology's current price.

Upsales Technology Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Upsales Technology stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Upsales Technology shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Upsales Technology stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Upsales Technology AB entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Upsales Technology Risk Indicators

The analysis of Upsales Technology's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Upsales Technology's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting upsales stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

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Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Other Information on Investing in Upsales Stock

Upsales Technology financial ratios help investors to determine whether Upsales Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Upsales with respect to the benefits of owning Upsales Technology security.