DOMINION Forecast - Polynomial Regression

25746UBD0   110.73  3.69  3.22%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of DOMINION ENERGY INC on the next trading day is expected to be 111.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.89 and the sum of the absolute errors of 55.43. DOMINION Bond Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast DOMINION stock prices and determine the direction of DOMINION ENERGY INC's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of DOMINION's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
DOMINION polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for DOMINION ENERGY INC as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

DOMINION Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of DOMINION ENERGY INC on the next trading day is expected to be 111.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.89, mean absolute percentage error of 1.27, and the sum of the absolute errors of 55.43.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict DOMINION Bond prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that DOMINION's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

DOMINION Bond Forecast Pattern

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DOMINION Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting DOMINION's Bond value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. DOMINION's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 110.44 and 112.98, respectively. We have considered DOMINION's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
110.73
110.44
Downside
111.71
Expected Value
112.98
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of DOMINION bond data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent DOMINION bond, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.1887
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.8941
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0077
SAESum of the absolute errors55.4315
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the DOMINION historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for DOMINION

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DOMINION ENERGY INC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
109.46110.73112.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
98.3999.66121.80
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as DOMINION. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against DOMINION's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, DOMINION's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in DOMINION ENERGY INC.

Other Forecasting Options for DOMINION

For every potential investor in DOMINION, whether a beginner or expert, DOMINION's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. DOMINION Bond price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in DOMINION. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying DOMINION's price trends.

DOMINION Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with DOMINION bond to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of DOMINION could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing DOMINION by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

DOMINION ENERGY INC Technical and Predictive Analytics

The bond market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of DOMINION's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of DOMINION's current price.

DOMINION Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how DOMINION bond reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading DOMINION shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying DOMINION bond market strength indicators, traders can identify DOMINION ENERGY INC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

DOMINION Risk Indicators

The analysis of DOMINION's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in DOMINION's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting dominion bond prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios. One of the essential factors to consider when estimating the risk of default for a bond instrument is its duration, which is the bond's price sensitivity to changes in interest rates. The duration of DOMINION ENERGY INC bond is primarily affected by its yield, coupon rate, and time to maturity. The duration of a bond will be higher the lower its coupon, lower its yield, and longer the time left to maturity.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in DOMINION Bond

DOMINION financial ratios help investors to determine whether DOMINION Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in DOMINION with respect to the benefits of owning DOMINION security.