866677AE7 Forecast - Simple Moving Average

866677AE7   81.70  3.52  4.13%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of SUI 27 15 JUL 31 on the next trading day is expected to be 81.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.45 and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.24. 866677AE7 Bond Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast 866677AE7 stock prices and determine the direction of SUI 27 15 JUL 31's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of 866677AE7's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A two period moving average forecast for 866677AE7 is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

866677AE7 Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 1st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of SUI 27 15 JUL 31 on the next trading day is expected to be 81.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.45, mean absolute percentage error of 0.83, and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.24.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict 866677AE7 Bond prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that 866677AE7's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

866677AE7 Bond Forecast Pattern

866677AE7 Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting 866677AE7's Bond value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. 866677AE7's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 80.98 and 82.42, respectively. We have considered 866677AE7's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
81.70
81.70
Expected Value
82.42
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of 866677AE7 bond data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent 866677AE7 bond, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.0868
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0405
MADMean absolute deviation0.454
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0054
SAESum of the absolute errors27.24
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of SUI 27 15 JUL 31 price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of 866677AE7. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for 866677AE7

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SUI 27 15. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
80.9881.7082.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
68.6969.4189.87
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
79.8483.7287.61
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 866677AE7. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 866677AE7's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 866677AE7's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in SUI 27 15.

Other Forecasting Options for 866677AE7

For every potential investor in 866677AE7, whether a beginner or expert, 866677AE7's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. 866677AE7 Bond price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in 866677AE7. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying 866677AE7's price trends.

866677AE7 Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with 866677AE7 bond to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of 866677AE7 could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing 866677AE7 by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

SUI 27 15 Technical and Predictive Analytics

The bond market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of 866677AE7's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of 866677AE7's current price.

866677AE7 Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how 866677AE7 bond reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading 866677AE7 shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying 866677AE7 bond market strength indicators, traders can identify SUI 27 15 JUL 31 entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

866677AE7 Risk Indicators

The analysis of 866677AE7's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in 866677AE7's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting 866677ae7 bond prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios. One of the essential factors to consider when estimating the risk of default for a bond instrument is its duration, which is the bond's price sensitivity to changes in interest rates. The duration of SUI 27 15 JUL 31 bond is primarily affected by its yield, coupon rate, and time to maturity. The duration of a bond will be higher the lower its coupon, lower its yield, and longer the time left to maturity.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 866677AE7 Bond

866677AE7 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 866677AE7 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 866677AE7 with respect to the benefits of owning 866677AE7 security.