Value Line Mutual Fund Forecast - Simple Moving Average

VAGIXDelisted Fund  USD 13.14  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Value Line E on the next trading day is expected to be 13.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.18. Value Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Value Line's share price is at 55. This entails that the mutual fund is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Value Line, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 55

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Value Line's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Value Line E, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Value Line hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Value Line E from the perspective of Value Line response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Value Line E on the next trading day is expected to be 13.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.18.

Value Line after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 13.14  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.

Value Line Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Value price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Value using various technical indicators. When you analyze Value charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Value Line is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Value Line Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 20th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Value Line E on the next trading day is expected to be 13.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0007, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.18.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Value Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Value Line's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Value Line Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Value LineValue Line Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Value Line mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Value Line mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria107.2054
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0052
MADMean absolute deviation0.0199
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0015
SAESum of the absolute errors1.175
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Value Line E price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Value Line. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Value Line

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Value Line E. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.0213.1413.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.0212.1414.45
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
13.1013.1313.15
Details

Value Line Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Value Line mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Value Line could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Value Line by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Value Line Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Value Line mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Value Line shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Value Line mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Value Line E entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Value Line Risk Indicators

The analysis of Value Line's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Value Line's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting value mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.
You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.

Other Consideration for investing in Value Mutual Fund

If you are still planning to invest in Value Line E check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Value Line's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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