Vaporbrands Intl Pink Sheet Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

VAPR Stock  USD 0.01  0.0001  1.96%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Vaporbrands Intl on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0005 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.02. Vaporbrands Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Vaporbrands Intl is based on an artificially constructed time series of Vaporbrands Intl daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Vaporbrands Intl 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Vaporbrands Intl on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0005, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000039, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.02.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Vaporbrands Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Vaporbrands Intl's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Vaporbrands Intl Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Vaporbrands IntlVaporbrands Intl Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Vaporbrands Intl Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Vaporbrands Intl's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Vaporbrands Intl's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.00005 and 7.73, respectively. We have considered Vaporbrands Intl's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.01
0.00005
Downside
0.01
Expected Value
7.73
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Vaporbrands Intl pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Vaporbrands Intl pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria88.6608
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 1.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation5.0E-4
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0826
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0249
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Vaporbrands Intl 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Vaporbrands Intl

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vaporbrands Intl. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.017.73
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.0007.72
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Vaporbrands Intl

For every potential investor in Vaporbrands, whether a beginner or expert, Vaporbrands Intl's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Vaporbrands Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Vaporbrands. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Vaporbrands Intl's price trends.

View Vaporbrands Intl Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

Vaporbrands Intl Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Vaporbrands Intl's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Vaporbrands Intl's current price.

Vaporbrands Intl Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Vaporbrands Intl pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Vaporbrands Intl shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Vaporbrands Intl pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Vaporbrands Intl entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Vaporbrands Intl Risk Indicators

The analysis of Vaporbrands Intl's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Vaporbrands Intl's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting vaporbrands pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Vaporbrands Intl

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Vaporbrands Intl position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Vaporbrands Intl will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Vaporbrands Pink Sheet

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Vaporbrands Intl could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Vaporbrands Intl when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Vaporbrands Intl - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Vaporbrands Intl to buy it.
The correlation of Vaporbrands Intl is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Vaporbrands Intl moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Vaporbrands Intl moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Vaporbrands Intl can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for Vaporbrands Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Vaporbrands Intl's price analysis, check to measure Vaporbrands Intl's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vaporbrands Intl is operating at the current time. Most of Vaporbrands Intl's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vaporbrands Intl's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vaporbrands Intl's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vaporbrands Intl to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.