Vascular Biogenics Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| VBLTDelisted Stock | USD 0.28 0.01 3.45% |
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Vascular Biogenics on the next trading day is expected to be 0.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.63. Vascular Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
Vascular |
Vascular Biogenics Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 13th of December 2024
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Vascular Biogenics on the next trading day is expected to be 0.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0002, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.63.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Vascular Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Vascular Biogenics' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Vascular Biogenics Stock Forecast Pattern
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Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Vascular Biogenics stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Vascular Biogenics stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 109.531 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0103 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0433 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.6289 |
Predictive Modules for Vascular Biogenics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vascular Biogenics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.View Vascular Biogenics Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Vascular Biogenics Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Vascular Biogenics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Vascular Biogenics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Vascular Biogenics stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Vascular Biogenics entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Vascular Biogenics Risk Indicators
The analysis of Vascular Biogenics' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Vascular Biogenics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting vascular stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.42 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.11 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.54 | |||
| Variance | 30.69 | |||
| Downside Variance | 30.42 | |||
| Semi Variance | 16.89 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (6.43) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Thematic Opportunities
Explore Investment Opportunities
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis. You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
Other Consideration for investing in Vascular Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Vascular Biogenics check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Vascular Biogenics' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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