Verkkokauppa Oyj Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

VERK Stock  EUR 1.41  0.02  1.44%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Verkkokauppa Oyj on the next trading day is expected to be 1.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.78. Verkkokauppa Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Verkkokauppa Oyj stock prices and determine the direction of Verkkokauppa Oyj's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Verkkokauppa Oyj's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Verkkokauppa Oyj is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Verkkokauppa Oyj value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Verkkokauppa Oyj Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 2nd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Verkkokauppa Oyj on the next trading day is expected to be 1.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.78.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Verkkokauppa Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Verkkokauppa Oyj's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Verkkokauppa Oyj Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Verkkokauppa OyjVerkkokauppa Oyj Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Verkkokauppa Oyj Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Verkkokauppa Oyj's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Verkkokauppa Oyj's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 3.27, respectively. We have considered Verkkokauppa Oyj's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.41
1.36
Expected Value
3.27
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Verkkokauppa Oyj stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Verkkokauppa Oyj stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.4668
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0292
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0182
SAESum of the absolute errors1.7808
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Verkkokauppa Oyj. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Verkkokauppa Oyj. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Verkkokauppa Oyj

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Verkkokauppa Oyj. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.071.413.32
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.071.493.40
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Verkkokauppa Oyj

For every potential investor in Verkkokauppa, whether a beginner or expert, Verkkokauppa Oyj's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Verkkokauppa Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Verkkokauppa. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Verkkokauppa Oyj's price trends.

Verkkokauppa Oyj Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Verkkokauppa Oyj stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Verkkokauppa Oyj could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Verkkokauppa Oyj by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Verkkokauppa Oyj Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Verkkokauppa Oyj's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Verkkokauppa Oyj's current price.

Verkkokauppa Oyj Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Verkkokauppa Oyj stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Verkkokauppa Oyj shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Verkkokauppa Oyj stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Verkkokauppa Oyj entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Verkkokauppa Oyj Risk Indicators

The analysis of Verkkokauppa Oyj's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Verkkokauppa Oyj's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting verkkokauppa stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Verkkokauppa Stock

Verkkokauppa Oyj financial ratios help investors to determine whether Verkkokauppa Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Verkkokauppa with respect to the benefits of owning Verkkokauppa Oyj security.