Vie Financial Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Vie Financial Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Vie Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Vie Financial's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of now, Vie Financial's Payables Turnover is increasing as compared to previous years. The Vie Financial's current Fixed Asset Turnover is estimated to increase to 4,593, while Receivables Turnover is projected to decrease to 9.69. . The current Net Loss is estimated to decrease to about (18.1 M).

Vie Financial Cash Forecast

Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Vie Financial's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
M
Current Value
1.9 M
Quarterly Volatility
3.3 M
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Vie Financial is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Vie Financial Group value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Vie Financial Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 26th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Vie Financial Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Vie Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Vie Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Vie Financial Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Vie FinancialVie Financial Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Vie Financial Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Vie Financial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Vie Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.00 and 0.00, respectively. We have considered Vie Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.00
0.00
Expected Value
0.00
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Vie Financial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Vie Financial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria-9.223372036854776E14
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Vie Financial Group. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Vie Financial. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Vie Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vie Financial Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Vie Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Vie Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Vie Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Vie Financial Group.

Other Forecasting Options for Vie Financial

For every potential investor in Vie, whether a beginner or expert, Vie Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Vie Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Vie. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Vie Financial's price trends.

Vie Financial Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Vie Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Vie Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vie Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Vie Financial Group Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Vie Financial's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Vie Financial's current price.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Vie Financial Group offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Vie Financial's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Vie Financial Group Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Vie Financial Group Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Vie Financial to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.
Is Investment Banking & Brokerage space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vie Financial. If investors know Vie will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Vie Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Revenue Per Share
0.546
Return On Assets
(2.30)
The market value of Vie Financial Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vie that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vie Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vie Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vie Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vie Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vie Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vie Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vie Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.