Veren Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

VRNDelisted Stock   6.01  0.06  0.99%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Veren Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 5.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.21. Veren Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the value of rsi of Veren's share price is below 20 . This entails that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Veren's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Veren Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Veren hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Veren Inc from the perspective of Veren response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Veren Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 5.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.21.

Veren after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 6.01  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.

Veren Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Veren price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Veren using various technical indicators. When you analyze Veren charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Veren is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Veren Inc value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Veren Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 7th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Veren Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 5.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25, mean absolute percentage error of 0.1, and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.21.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Veren Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Veren's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Veren Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest VerenVeren Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Veren stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Veren stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.7811
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2494
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0444
SAESum of the absolute errors15.212
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Veren Inc. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Veren. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Veren

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Veren Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.016.016.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.994.996.61
Details

Veren Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Veren stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Veren could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Veren by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Veren Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Veren stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Veren shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Veren stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Veren Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.
You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.

Other Consideration for investing in Veren Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Veren Inc check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Veren's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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