Verint Systems Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

Verint Systems Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Verint price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Verint using various technical indicators. When you analyze Verint charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. A naive forecasting model for Verint Systems is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Verint Systems value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Verint Systems Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 26th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Verint Systems on the next trading day is expected to be 20.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.54.

Verint Systems Stock Forecast Pattern

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Verint Systems Price Prediction

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Verint Systems stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Verint Systems stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Verint Systems. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Verint Systems. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Verint Systems

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Verint Systems. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 20.20 20.51 20.82 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 17.05 17.36 22.56 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 20.14 20.29 20.43 Details

Verint Systems After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Verint Systems Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Verint Systems Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Verint Systems Hype Timeline

Verint Systems is at this time traded for 20.51. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.03. Verint is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on Verint Systems is about 56.36%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.54. About 100.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.39. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Verint Systems has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.68. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1963:1000 split on the 2nd of February 2021. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 5 days. Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.

Verint Systems Related Hype Analysis

Verint Systems Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Verint Systems Market Strength Events

Verint Systems Risk Indicators

Story Coverage note for Verint Systems

Verint Systems Short Properties

Other Consideration for investing in Verint Stock