Verint Systems Stock Forward View - Polynomial Regression

VRNTDelisted Stock  USD 20.51  0.00  0.00%   
Verint Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of rsi of Verint Systems' share price is below 20 . This entails that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Verint Systems' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Verint Systems, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Verint Systems hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Verint Systems from the perspective of Verint Systems response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Verint Systems on the next trading day is expected to be 20.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.68.

Verint Systems after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 20.52  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.

Verint Systems Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Verint price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Verint using various technical indicators. When you analyze Verint charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Verint Systems polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Verint Systems as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Verint Systems Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 13th of February 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Verint Systems on the next trading day is expected to be 20.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.68.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Verint Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Verint Systems' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Verint Systems Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Verint Systems  Verint Systems Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Verint Systems stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Verint Systems stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.0147
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0275
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0014
SAESum of the absolute errors1.6753
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Verint Systems historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Verint Systems

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Verint Systems. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.0420.5221.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.8817.3622.56
Details

Verint Systems After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Verint Systems at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Verint Systems or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Verint Systems, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Verint Systems Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Verint Systems' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Verint Systems' historical news coverage. Verint Systems' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 20.04 and 21.00, respectively. We have considered Verint Systems' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
20.51
20.52
After-hype Price
21.00
Upside
Verint Systems is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Verint Systems is based on 3 months time horizon.

Verint Systems Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Verint Systems is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Verint Systems backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Verint Systems, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.10 
0.48
  0.01 
 0.00  
16 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 16 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
20.51
20.52
0.05 
400.00  
Notes

Verint Systems Hype Timeline

Verint Systems is at this time traded for 20.51. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Verint is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 20.52 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.05%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.1%. The volatility of related hype on Verint Systems is about 2181.82%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.51. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 909.19 M. Net Income was 83.1 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 633.3 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 16 days.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.

Verint Systems Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Verint Systems' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Verint Systems' future price movements. Getting to know how Verint Systems' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Verint Systems may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Verint Systems Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Verint Systems stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Verint Systems could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Verint Systems by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Verint Systems Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Verint Systems stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Verint Systems shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Verint Systems stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Verint Systems entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Verint Systems Risk Indicators

The analysis of Verint Systems' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Verint Systems' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting verint stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Verint Systems

The number of cover stories for Verint Systems depends on current market conditions and Verint Systems' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Verint Systems is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Verint Systems' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Verint Systems Short Properties

Verint Systems' future price predictability will typically decrease when Verint Systems' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Verint Systems often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Verint Systems' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Verint Systems' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding62.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments217.1 M
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.

Other Consideration for investing in Verint Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Verint Systems check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Verint Systems' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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