Vasta Platform Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| VSTA Stock | USD 4.90 0.08 1.61% |
Vasta Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Vasta Platform stock prices and determine the direction of Vasta Platform's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Vasta Platform's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time the relative strength indicator of Vasta Platform's share price is below 20 . This entails that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 9.753 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.0682 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.0652 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.5102 | Wall Street Target Price 4.5862 |
Using Vasta Platform hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Vasta Platform from the perspective of Vasta Platform response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Vasta Platform on the next trading day is expected to be 4.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.15. Vasta Platform after-hype prediction price | USD 4.9 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in poverty. Vasta Platform Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Vasta price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Vasta using various technical indicators. When you analyze Vasta charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Vasta Platform Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 7th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Vasta Platform on the next trading day is expected to be 4.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.15.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Vasta Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Vasta Platform's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Vasta Platform Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Vasta Platform | Vasta Platform Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Vasta Platform stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Vasta Platform stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0044 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0364 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0074 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.1488 |
Predictive Modules for Vasta Platform
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vasta Platform. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vasta Platform's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Vasta Platform After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Vasta Platform at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Vasta Platform or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Vasta Platform, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Vasta Platform Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Vasta Platform's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Vasta Platform's historical news coverage. Vasta Platform's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.05 and 6.75, respectively. We have considered Vasta Platform's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Vasta Platform is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Vasta Platform is based on 3 months time horizon.
Vasta Platform Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Vasta Platform is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Vasta Platform backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Vasta Platform, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 1.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
4.90 | 4.90 | 0.00 |
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Vasta Platform Hype Timeline
Vasta Platform is at this time traded for 4.90. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Vasta is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Vasta Platform is about 4868.42%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.90. About 50.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 0.42. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Vasta Platform had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:20 split on the August 14, 2014. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 4 days. Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in poverty.Vasta Platform Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Vasta Platform's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Vasta Platform's future price movements. Getting to know how Vasta Platform's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Vasta Platform may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| STKH | Steakholder Foods | 0.05 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 11.34 | (12.77) | 33.47 | |
| RPDL | Rapid Line | 0.00 | 0 per month | 6.41 | 0.12 | 23.53 | (18.18) | 95.83 | |
| AMBO | Ambow Education Holding | 0.14 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 10.58 | (8.57) | 23.92 | |
| SBEV | Splash Beverage Group | (0.02) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 15.58 | (14.71) | 74.08 | |
| YHC | LQR House | 0.02 | 9 per month | 4.02 | (0) | 8.54 | (6.67) | 29.41 |
Vasta Platform Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Vasta Platform stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Vasta Platform could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vasta Platform by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Vasta Platform Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Vasta Platform stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Vasta Platform shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Vasta Platform stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Vasta Platform entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Vasta Platform Risk Indicators
The analysis of Vasta Platform's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Vasta Platform's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting vasta stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.8812 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.7 | |||
| Variance | 2.88 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Vasta Platform
The number of cover stories for Vasta Platform depends on current market conditions and Vasta Platform's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Vasta Platform is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Vasta Platform's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Vasta Platform Short Properties
Vasta Platform's future price predictability will typically decrease when Vasta Platform's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Vasta Platform often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Vasta Platform's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vasta Platform's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 80.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 195.8 M |
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in poverty. You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vasta Platform. If investors know Vasta will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Vasta Platform assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 9.753 | Earnings Share 1.14 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.134 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Vasta Platform is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vasta that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vasta Platform's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vasta Platform's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vasta Platform's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vasta Platform's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vasta Platform's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vasta Platform is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Vasta Platform's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.