Vast Renewables Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

VSTEDelisted Stock  USD 0.08  0.0001  0.12%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Vast Renewables Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.15. Vast Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Vast Renewables stock prices and determine the direction of Vast Renewables Limited's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Vast Renewables' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the value of RSI of Vast Renewables' share price is approaching 30. This entails that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Vast Renewables, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 30

 Sell Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Vast Renewables' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Vast Renewables and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Vast Renewables' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Vast Renewables Limited, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Vast Renewables hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Vast Renewables Limited from the perspective of Vast Renewables response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Vast Renewables Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.15.

Vast Renewables after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.0802  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.

Vast Renewables Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Vast price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Vast using various technical indicators. When you analyze Vast charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Vast Renewables is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Vast Renewables Limited value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Vast Renewables Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 10th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Vast Renewables Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.15.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Vast Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Vast Renewables' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Vast Renewables Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Vast RenewablesVast Renewables Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Vast Renewables stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Vast Renewables stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.9599
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0352
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1643
SAESum of the absolute errors2.1487
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Vast Renewables Limited. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Vast Renewables. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Vast Renewables

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vast Renewables. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vast Renewables' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.080.080.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.080.080.09
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
-0.00950.170.35
Details

Vast Renewables Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Vast Renewables stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Vast Renewables could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vast Renewables by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Vast Renewables Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Vast Renewables stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Vast Renewables shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Vast Renewables stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Vast Renewables Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.
You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.

Other Consideration for investing in Vast Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Vast Renewables check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Vast Renewables' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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