Vulcan Minerals Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

Vulcan Minerals Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Vulcan price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Vulcan using various technical indicators. When you analyze Vulcan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. A naive forecasting model for Vulcan Minerals is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Vulcan Minerals value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Vulcan Minerals Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Vulcan Minerals on the next trading day is expected to be 0.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0004, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.99.

Vulcan Minerals Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Vulcan Minerals Price Prediction

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Vulcan Minerals Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Vulcan Minerals pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Vulcan Minerals pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Vulcan Minerals. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Vulcan Minerals. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Vulcan Minerals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vulcan Minerals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 0.01 0.20 20.89 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 0.01 0.14 20.83 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 0.1 0.15 0.21 Details

Vulcan Minerals After-Hype Price Density Analysis

Vulcan Minerals Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Vulcan Minerals Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Notes

Vulcan Minerals Hype Timeline

Vulcan Minerals is at this time traded for 0.20. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Vulcan is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 2.38%. %. The volatility of related hype on Vulcan Minerals is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.20. About 27.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.04. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Vulcan Minerals had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next expected press release will be any time. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Vulcan Minerals to cross-verify your projections.

Vulcan Minerals Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for Vulcan Minerals

For every potential investor in Vulcan, whether a beginner or expert, Vulcan Minerals' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Vulcan Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Vulcan. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Vulcan Minerals' price trends.

Vulcan Minerals Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Vulcan Minerals Market Strength Events

Vulcan Minerals Risk Indicators

Story Coverage note for Vulcan Minerals

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Other Information on Investing in Vulcan Pink Sheet