Walgreens Boots Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

WBADelisted Stock  USD 11.98  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Walgreens Boots Alliance on the next trading day is expected to be 11.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.66. Walgreens Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Walgreens Boots stock prices and determine the direction of Walgreens Boots Alliance's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Walgreens Boots' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time the value of rsi of Walgreens Boots' share price is below 20 . This entails that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Walgreens Boots' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Walgreens Boots Alliance, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Walgreens Boots hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Walgreens Boots Alliance from the perspective of Walgreens Boots response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Walgreens Boots Alliance on the next trading day is expected to be 11.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.66.

Walgreens Boots after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 11.98  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.

Walgreens Boots Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Walgreens price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Walgreens using various technical indicators. When you analyze Walgreens charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Walgreens Boots is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Walgreens Boots Alliance value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Walgreens Boots Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 12th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Walgreens Boots Alliance on the next trading day is expected to be 11.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.66.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Walgreens Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Walgreens Boots' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Walgreens Boots Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Walgreens BootsWalgreens Boots Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Walgreens Boots stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Walgreens Boots stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.2875
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0436
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0037
SAESum of the absolute errors2.6568
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Walgreens Boots Alliance. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Walgreens Boots. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Walgreens Boots

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Walgreens Boots Alliance. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.9811.9811.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.0710.0713.18
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
11.3411.7812.22
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Walgreens Boots. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Walgreens Boots' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Walgreens Boots' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Walgreens Boots Alliance.

Walgreens Boots Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Walgreens Boots stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Walgreens Boots could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Walgreens Boots by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Walgreens Boots Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Walgreens Boots stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Walgreens Boots shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Walgreens Boots stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Walgreens Boots Alliance entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.
You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.

Other Consideration for investing in Walgreens Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Walgreens Boots Alliance check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Walgreens Boots' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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