HAN GINS Etf Forward View - 20 Period Moving Average

WELL Etf   6.12  0.03  0.49%   
HAN Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength momentum indicator of HAN GINS's share price is approaching 39. This entails that the etf is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling HAN GINS, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 39

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of HAN GINS's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of HAN GINS and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from HAN GINS's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with HAN GINS Indxx Healthcare, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using HAN GINS hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of HAN GINS Indxx Healthcare from the perspective of HAN GINS response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of HAN GINS Indxx Healthcare on the next trading day is expected to be 6.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.64.

HAN GINS after-hype prediction price

    
  CHF 6.13  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out fundamental analysis of HAN GINS to check your projections.

HAN GINS Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine HAN price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for HAN using various technical indicators. When you analyze HAN charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for HAN GINS Indxx Healthcare is based on a synthetically constructed HAN GINSdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

HAN GINS 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 21st of February

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of HAN GINS Indxx Healthcare on the next trading day is expected to be 6.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.64.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict HAN Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that HAN GINS's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

HAN GINS Etf Forecast Pattern

HAN GINS Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting HAN GINS's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. HAN GINS's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4.80 and 7.30, respectively. We have considered HAN GINS's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
6.12
6.05
Expected Value
7.30
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of HAN GINS etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent HAN GINS etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria78.2859
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.1223
MADMean absolute deviation0.1864
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0302
SAESum of the absolute errors7.6415
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. HAN GINS Indxx 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for HAN GINS

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HAN GINS Indxx. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.876.137.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.916.177.43
Details

HAN GINS Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

As far as predicting the price of HAN GINS at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in HAN GINS or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of HAN GINS, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

HAN GINS Etf Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as HAN GINS is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading HAN GINS backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with HAN GINS, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.15 
1.25
  0.07 
  0.05 
2 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
6.12
6.13
0.16 
277.78  
Notes

HAN GINS Hype Timeline

HAN GINS Indxx is at this time traded for 6.12on SIX Swiss Exchange of Switzerland. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. HAN is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 6.13 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price increase on the next news is anticipated to be 0.16%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.15%. The volatility of related hype on HAN GINS is about 400.64%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.07. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in a few days.
Check out fundamental analysis of HAN GINS to check your projections.

HAN GINS Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to HAN GINS's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict HAN GINS's future price movements. Getting to know how HAN GINS's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how HAN GINS may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
EDMUiShares MSCI USA(0.03)2 per month 0.00 (0.10) 1.06 (1.28) 3.15 
EQACInvesco EQQQ NASDAQ 100(3.05)1 per month 0.00 (0.10) 1.45 (1.77) 4.06 
CSUSiShares VII PLC 0.00 0 per month 0.82 (0.05) 1.13 (1.18) 3.62 
INAAiShares MSCI North(0.04)1 per month 0.75 (0.05) 0.96 (1.42) 3.17 
XEOUXtrackers MSCI Europe(0.01)2 per month 0.48  0.07  1.04 (0.91) 2.82 
WPABiShares MSCI World 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
ISWDiShares MSCI World 0.00 0 per month 1.04  0.02  1.47 (1.61) 5.63 
CSINDUiShares VII PLC 0.00 0 per month 0.39  0.04  1.20 (0.80) 2.72 
CISBiShares Smart City 0.01 2 per month 1.13  0.03  1.79 (1.50) 4.94 
INRGiShares Global Clean 0.00 0 per month 2.27  0.03  2.35 (2.00) 12.20 

Other Forecasting Options for HAN GINS

For every potential investor in HAN, whether a beginner or expert, HAN GINS's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. HAN Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in HAN. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying HAN GINS's price trends.

HAN GINS Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with HAN GINS etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of HAN GINS could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing HAN GINS by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

HAN GINS Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how HAN GINS etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading HAN GINS shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying HAN GINS etf market strength indicators, traders can identify HAN GINS Indxx Healthcare entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

HAN GINS Risk Indicators

The analysis of HAN GINS's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in HAN GINS's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting han etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for HAN GINS

The number of cover stories for HAN GINS depends on current market conditions and HAN GINS's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that HAN GINS is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about HAN GINS's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Other Information on Investing in HAN Etf

HAN GINS financial ratios help investors to determine whether HAN Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in HAN with respect to the benefits of owning HAN GINS security.