Westwood High Mutual Fund Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

WWHCX Fund  USD 10.22  0.03  0.29%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Westwood High Income on the next trading day is expected to be 10.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.27. Westwood Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Westwood High simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Westwood High Income are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Westwood High Income prices get older.

Westwood High Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Westwood High Income on the next trading day is expected to be 10.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0007, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.27.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Westwood Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Westwood High's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Westwood High Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

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Westwood High Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Westwood High's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Westwood High's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.96 and 10.48, respectively. We have considered Westwood High's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
10.22
10.22
Expected Value
10.48
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Westwood High mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Westwood High mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria108.9962
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0035
MADMean absolute deviation0.0212
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0021
SAESum of the absolute errors1.27
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Westwood High Income forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Westwood High observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Westwood High

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Westwood High Income. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Westwood High's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000.26
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
9.9810.1310.27
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Westwood High

For every potential investor in Westwood, whether a beginner or expert, Westwood High's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Westwood Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Westwood. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Westwood High's price trends.

Westwood High Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Westwood High mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Westwood High could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Westwood High by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Westwood High Income Technical and Predictive Analytics

The mutual fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Westwood High's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Westwood High's current price.

Westwood High Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Westwood High mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Westwood High shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Westwood High mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Westwood High Income entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Westwood High Risk Indicators

The analysis of Westwood High's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Westwood High's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting westwood mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Westwood Mutual Fund

Westwood High financial ratios help investors to determine whether Westwood Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Westwood with respect to the benefits of owning Westwood High security.
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