XP Hoteis Fund Forecast - Polynomial Regression

XPHT11 Fund  BRL 123.00  0.00  0.00%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of XP Hoteis Fundo on the next trading day is expected to be 123.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. XPHT11 Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast XP Hoteis stock prices and determine the direction of XP Hoteis Fundo's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of XP Hoteis' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
XP Hoteis polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for XP Hoteis Fundo as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

XP Hoteis Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 1st of April

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of XP Hoteis Fundo on the next trading day is expected to be 123.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict XPHT11 Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that XP Hoteis' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

XP Hoteis Fund Forecast Pattern

JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Dec 17Dec 27Jan 8Jan 16Jan 24Feb 3Feb 11Feb 19Feb 27Mar 31115120125130135
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15XP Hoteis Fundo XP Hoteis Fundo forecast

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of XP Hoteis fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent XP Hoteis fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria-9.223372036854776E14
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the XP Hoteis historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for XP Hoteis

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as XP Hoteis Fundo. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
123.00123.00123.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
123.00123.00123.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
123.00123.00123.00
Details

XP Hoteis Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with XP Hoteis fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of XP Hoteis could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing XP Hoteis by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

XP Hoteis Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how XP Hoteis fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading XP Hoteis shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying XP Hoteis fund market strength indicators, traders can identify XP Hoteis Fundo entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in XPHT11 Fund

XP Hoteis financial ratios help investors to determine whether XPHT11 Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in XPHT11 with respect to the benefits of owning XP Hoteis security.
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