Xpro India Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

XPROINDIA   1,486  60.80  4.26%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Xpro India Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 1,597 with a mean absolute deviation of 26.34 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,607. Xpro Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Xpro India stock prices and determine the direction of Xpro India Limited's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Xpro India's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Xpro India's Total Current Liabilities is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Total Stockholder Equity is expected to grow to about 5.9 B, whereas Total Assets are forecasted to decline to about 3.8 B.
A naive forecasting model for Xpro India is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Xpro India Limited value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Xpro India Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Xpro India Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 1,597 with a mean absolute deviation of 26.34, mean absolute percentage error of 1,217, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,607.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Xpro Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Xpro India's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Xpro India Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Xpro IndiaXpro India Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Xpro India Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Xpro India's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Xpro India's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1,594 and 1,600, respectively. We have considered Xpro India's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1,486
1,597
Expected Value
1,600
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Xpro India stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Xpro India stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria125.2143
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation26.3394
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0231
SAESum of the absolute errors1606.7038
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Xpro India Limited. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Xpro India. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Xpro India

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Xpro India Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,4671,4701,635
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,2011,2041,635
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
912.161,1591,406
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Xpro India

For every potential investor in Xpro, whether a beginner or expert, Xpro India's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Xpro Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Xpro. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Xpro India's price trends.

Xpro India Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Xpro India stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Xpro India could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Xpro India by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Xpro India Limited Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Xpro India's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Xpro India's current price.

Xpro India Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Xpro India stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Xpro India shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Xpro India stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Xpro India Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Xpro India Risk Indicators

The analysis of Xpro India's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Xpro India's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting xpro stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Xpro Stock

Xpro India financial ratios help investors to determine whether Xpro Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Xpro with respect to the benefits of owning Xpro India security.