GENFIT Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression
Investors can use prediction functions to forecast GENFIT's stock prices and determine the direction of GENFIT's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, exclusively looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of GENFIT's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.
GENFIT polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for GENFIT as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices. A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the GENFIT historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*XmGENFIT |
Predictive Modules for GENFIT
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GENFIT. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of GENFIT's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
GENFIT Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with GENFIT stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of GENFIT could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing GENFIT by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Pair Trading with GENFIT
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if GENFIT position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in GENFIT will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.The ability to find closely correlated positions to Marathon Petroleum could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Marathon Petroleum when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Marathon Petroleum - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Marathon Petroleum Corp to buy it.
The correlation of Marathon Petroleum is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Marathon Petroleum moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Marathon Petroleum Corp moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Marathon Petroleum can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment. You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.
Other Consideration for investing in GENFIT Stock
If you are still planning to invest in GENFIT check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the GENFIT's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
| Headlines Timeline Stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity | |
| Odds Of Bankruptcy Get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Idea Breakdown Analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes | |
| Portfolio Backtesting Avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios | |
| Premium Stories Follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope | |
| Watchlist Optimization Optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm | |
| Bollinger Bands Use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon | |
| Portfolio Comparator Compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account | |
| Pattern Recognition Use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges |