Yulie Sekurindo Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

YULE Stock  IDR 2,480  30.00  1.20%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Yulie Sekurindo Tbk on the next trading day is expected to be 2,504 with a mean absolute deviation of 8.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 493.43. Yulie Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Yulie Sekurindo price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Yulie Sekurindo Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Yulie Sekurindo Tbk on the next trading day is expected to be 2,504 with a mean absolute deviation of 8.09, mean absolute percentage error of 263.87, and the sum of the absolute errors of 493.43.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Yulie Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Yulie Sekurindo's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Yulie Sekurindo Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Yulie SekurindoYulie Sekurindo Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Yulie Sekurindo Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Yulie Sekurindo's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Yulie Sekurindo's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2,503 and 2,505, respectively. We have considered Yulie Sekurindo's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2,480
2,504
Expected Value
2,505
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Yulie Sekurindo stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Yulie Sekurindo stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria123.686
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation8.0891
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0033
SAESum of the absolute errors493.4331
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Yulie Sekurindo Tbk historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Yulie Sekurindo

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Yulie Sekurindo Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2,4792,4802,481
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,2782,2792,728
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
2,4722,5002,528
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Yulie Sekurindo

For every potential investor in Yulie, whether a beginner or expert, Yulie Sekurindo's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Yulie Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Yulie. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Yulie Sekurindo's price trends.

Yulie Sekurindo Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Yulie Sekurindo stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Yulie Sekurindo could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Yulie Sekurindo by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Yulie Sekurindo Tbk Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Yulie Sekurindo's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Yulie Sekurindo's current price.

Yulie Sekurindo Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Yulie Sekurindo stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Yulie Sekurindo shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Yulie Sekurindo stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Yulie Sekurindo Tbk entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Yulie Sekurindo Risk Indicators

The analysis of Yulie Sekurindo's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Yulie Sekurindo's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting yulie stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!

The Portfolio Architect is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.

Try AI Portfolio Architect

Other Information on Investing in Yulie Stock

Yulie Sekurindo financial ratios help investors to determine whether Yulie Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Yulie with respect to the benefits of owning Yulie Sekurindo security.