QINGCI GAMES Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

Z56 Stock   0.27  0.01  3.57%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of QINGCI GAMES INC on the next trading day is expected to be 0.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.22. QINGCI Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of QINGCI GAMES's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A two period moving average forecast for QINGCI GAMES is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

QINGCI GAMES Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 1st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of QINGCI GAMES INC on the next trading day is expected to be 0.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000053, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.22.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict QINGCI Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that QINGCI GAMES's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

QINGCI GAMES Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest QINGCI GAMESQINGCI GAMES Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

QINGCI GAMES Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting QINGCI GAMES's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. QINGCI GAMES's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 3.25, respectively. We have considered QINGCI GAMES's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.27
0.27
Expected Value
3.25
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of QINGCI GAMES stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent QINGCI GAMES stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria104.5969
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0037
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0143
SAESum of the absolute errors0.22
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of QINGCI GAMES INC price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of QINGCI GAMES. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for QINGCI GAMES

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as QINGCI GAMES INC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.273.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.223.20
Details

Other Forecasting Options for QINGCI GAMES

For every potential investor in QINGCI, whether a beginner or expert, QINGCI GAMES's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. QINGCI Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in QINGCI. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying QINGCI GAMES's price trends.

QINGCI GAMES Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with QINGCI GAMES stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of QINGCI GAMES could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing QINGCI GAMES by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

QINGCI GAMES INC Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of QINGCI GAMES's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of QINGCI GAMES's current price.

QINGCI GAMES Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how QINGCI GAMES stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading QINGCI GAMES shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying QINGCI GAMES stock market strength indicators, traders can identify QINGCI GAMES INC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

QINGCI GAMES Risk Indicators

The analysis of QINGCI GAMES's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in QINGCI GAMES's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting qingci stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in QINGCI Stock

QINGCI GAMES financial ratios help investors to determine whether QINGCI Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in QINGCI with respect to the benefits of owning QINGCI GAMES security.