Doosan (Korea) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 216,260

000150 Stock   196,600  3,600  1.87%   
Doosan's future price is the expected price of Doosan instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Doosan performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Doosan Backtesting, Doosan Valuation, Doosan Correlation, Doosan Hype Analysis, Doosan Volatility, Doosan History as well as Doosan Performance.
  
Please specify Doosan's target price for which you would like Doosan odds to be computed.

Doosan Target Price Odds to finish over 216,260

The tendency of Doosan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 196,600 90 days 196,600 
about 33.08
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Doosan to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 33.08 (This Doosan probability density function shows the probability of Doosan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.28 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Doosan will likely underperform. Additionally Doosan has an alpha of 0.2902, implying that it can generate a 0.29 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Doosan Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Doosan

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Doosan. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
196,596196,600196,604
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
161,612161,616216,260
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
178,549178,553178,557
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
186,032206,840227,648
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Doosan. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Doosan's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Doosan's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Doosan.

Doosan Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Doosan is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Doosan's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Doosan, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Doosan within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.29
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.28
σ
Overall volatility
30,064
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Doosan Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Doosan for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Doosan can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Doosan appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 39.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Doosan Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Doosan Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Doosan's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Doosan's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding13.5 M

Doosan Technical Analysis

Doosan's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Doosan Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Doosan. In general, you should focus on analyzing Doosan Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Doosan Predictive Forecast Models

Doosan's time-series forecasting models is one of many Doosan's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Doosan's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Doosan

Checking the ongoing alerts about Doosan for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Doosan help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Doosan appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 39.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Doosan Stock

Doosan financial ratios help investors to determine whether Doosan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Doosan with respect to the benefits of owning Doosan security.