Kia Corp (Korea) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 66459.38

000270 Stock   95,800  3,800  4.13%   
Kia Corp's future price is the expected price of Kia Corp instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Kia Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Kia Corp Backtesting, Kia Corp Valuation, Kia Corp Correlation, Kia Corp Hype Analysis, Kia Corp Volatility, Kia Corp History as well as Kia Corp Performance.
  
Please specify Kia Corp's target price for which you would like Kia Corp odds to be computed.

Kia Corp Target Price Odds to finish below 66459.38

The tendency of Kia Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  66,459  or more in 90 days
 95,800 90 days 66,459 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kia Corp to drop to  66,459  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Kia Corp probability density function shows the probability of Kia Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kia Corp price to stay between  66,459  and its current price of 95800.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 34.93 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Kia Corp has a beta of -0.014. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Kia Corp are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Kia Corp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Kia Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Kia Corp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Kia Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kia Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
95,79895,80095,802
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
86,220100,880100,882
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
93,98093,98293,984
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
89,34596,883104,422
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Kia Corp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Kia Corp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Kia Corp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Kia Corp.

Kia Corp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kia Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kia Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kia Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kia Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.01
σ
Overall volatility
3,930
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

Kia Corp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kia Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kia Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kia Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 37.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Kia Corp Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kia Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kia Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kia Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding400.9 M

Kia Corp Technical Analysis

Kia Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kia Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kia Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kia Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Kia Corp Predictive Forecast Models

Kia Corp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kia Corp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kia Corp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Kia Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Kia Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kia Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kia Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 37.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Kia Stock

Kia Corp financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kia Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kia with respect to the benefits of owning Kia Corp security.