Samhwa Paint (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 6747.23

000390 Stock   6,630  100.00  1.53%   
Samhwa Paint's future price is the expected price of Samhwa Paint instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Samhwa Paint Industrial performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Samhwa Paint Backtesting, Samhwa Paint Valuation, Samhwa Paint Correlation, Samhwa Paint Hype Analysis, Samhwa Paint Volatility, Samhwa Paint History as well as Samhwa Paint Performance.
  
Please specify Samhwa Paint's target price for which you would like Samhwa Paint odds to be computed.

Samhwa Paint Target Price Odds to finish below 6747.23

The tendency of Samhwa Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  6,747  after 90 days
 6,630 90 days 6,747 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Samhwa Paint to stay under  6,747  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Samhwa Paint Industrial probability density function shows the probability of Samhwa Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Samhwa Paint Industrial price to stay between its current price of  6,630  and  6,747  at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Samhwa Paint Industrial has a beta of -0.0756. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Samhwa Paint are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Samhwa Paint Industrial is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Samhwa Paint Industrial has an alpha of 0.0761, implying that it can generate a 0.0761 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Samhwa Paint Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Samhwa Paint

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Samhwa Paint Industrial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6,6286,6306,632
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5,3825,3847,293
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6,7316,7336,735
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5,9716,3006,630
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Samhwa Paint. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Samhwa Paint's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Samhwa Paint's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Samhwa Paint Industrial.

Samhwa Paint Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Samhwa Paint is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Samhwa Paint's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Samhwa Paint Industrial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Samhwa Paint within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.08
σ
Overall volatility
166.92
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Samhwa Paint Technical Analysis

Samhwa Paint's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Samhwa Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Samhwa Paint Industrial. In general, you should focus on analyzing Samhwa Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Samhwa Paint Predictive Forecast Models

Samhwa Paint's time-series forecasting models is one of many Samhwa Paint's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Samhwa Paint's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Samhwa Paint in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Samhwa Paint's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Samhwa Paint options trading.

Other Information on Investing in Samhwa Stock

Samhwa Paint financial ratios help investors to determine whether Samhwa Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Samhwa with respect to the benefits of owning Samhwa Paint security.