Lotte Non-Life (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1738.0
| 000400 Stock | 1,947 127.00 6.98% |
Lotte |
Lotte Non-Life Target Price Odds to finish below 1738.0
The tendency of Lotte Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 1,738 or more in 90 days |
| 1,947 | 90 days | 1,738 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lotte Non-Life to drop to 1,738 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Lotte Non Life probability density function shows the probability of Lotte Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lotte Non Life price to stay between 1,738 and its current price of 1947.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.96 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Lotte Non-Life has a beta of 0.43. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Lotte Non-Life average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Lotte Non Life will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Lotte Non Life has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Lotte Non-Life Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Lotte Non-Life
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lotte Non Life. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Lotte Non-Life Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lotte Non-Life is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lotte Non-Life's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lotte Non Life, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lotte Non-Life within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.51 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.43 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 218.53 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.22 |
Lotte Non-Life Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lotte Non-Life for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lotte Non Life can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Lotte Non Life generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 83.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Lotte Non-Life Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lotte Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lotte Non-Life's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lotte Non-Life's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 309.1 M |
Lotte Non-Life Technical Analysis
Lotte Non-Life's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lotte Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lotte Non Life. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lotte Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Lotte Non-Life Predictive Forecast Models
Lotte Non-Life's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lotte Non-Life's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lotte Non-Life's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Lotte Non Life
Checking the ongoing alerts about Lotte Non-Life for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lotte Non Life help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Lotte Non Life generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 83.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Lotte Stock
Lotte Non-Life financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lotte Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lotte with respect to the benefits of owning Lotte Non-Life security.