Digital China (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 13.53

000555 Stock   11.67  0.45  3.71%   
Digital China's future price is the expected price of Digital China instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Digital China Information performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Digital China Backtesting, Digital China Valuation, Digital China Correlation, Digital China Hype Analysis, Digital China Volatility, Digital China History as well as Digital China Performance.
  
Please specify Digital China's target price for which you would like Digital China odds to be computed.

Digital China Target Price Odds to finish over 13.53

The tendency of Digital Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  13.53  or more in 90 days
 11.67 90 days 13.53 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Digital China to move over  13.53  or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Digital China Information probability density function shows the probability of Digital Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Digital China Information price to stay between its current price of  11.67  and  13.53  at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.62 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Digital China Information has a beta of -0.68. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Digital China are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Digital China Information is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Digital China Information has an alpha of 0.6701, implying that it can generate a 0.67 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Digital China Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Digital China

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Digital China Information. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.5211.7015.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.179.3513.53
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.2911.4815.66
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.040.040.04
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Digital China. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Digital China's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Digital China's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Digital China Information.

Digital China Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Digital China is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Digital China's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Digital China Information, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Digital China within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.67
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.68
σ
Overall volatility
1.81
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Digital China Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Digital China for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Digital China Information can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Digital China appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 55.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Digital China Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Digital Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Digital China's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Digital China's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding983.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.4 B

Digital China Technical Analysis

Digital China's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Digital Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Digital China Information. In general, you should focus on analyzing Digital Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Digital China Predictive Forecast Models

Digital China's time-series forecasting models is one of many Digital China's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Digital China's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Digital China Information

Checking the ongoing alerts about Digital China for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Digital China Information help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Digital China appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 55.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Digital Stock

Digital China financial ratios help investors to determine whether Digital Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Digital with respect to the benefits of owning Digital China security.