Beijing Yanjing (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 10.01

000729 Stock   10.11  0.04  0.40%   
Beijing Yanjing's future price is the expected price of Beijing Yanjing instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Beijing Yanjing Brewery performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Beijing Yanjing Backtesting, Beijing Yanjing Valuation, Beijing Yanjing Correlation, Beijing Yanjing Hype Analysis, Beijing Yanjing Volatility, Beijing Yanjing History as well as Beijing Yanjing Performance.
  
Please specify Beijing Yanjing's target price for which you would like Beijing Yanjing odds to be computed.

Beijing Yanjing Target Price Odds to finish over 10.01

The tendency of Beijing Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  10.01  in 90 days
 10.11 90 days 10.01 
about 52.26
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Beijing Yanjing to stay above  10.01  in 90 days from now is about 52.26 (This Beijing Yanjing Brewery probability density function shows the probability of Beijing Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Beijing Yanjing Brewery price to stay between  10.01  and its current price of 10.11 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.51 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Beijing Yanjing Brewery has a beta of -0.5. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Beijing Yanjing are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Beijing Yanjing Brewery is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Beijing Yanjing Brewery has an alpha of 0.1242, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Beijing Yanjing Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Beijing Yanjing

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Beijing Yanjing Brewery. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.6310.1112.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.028.5010.98
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.7410.2212.70
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.080.080.09
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Beijing Yanjing. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Beijing Yanjing's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Beijing Yanjing's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Beijing Yanjing Brewery.

Beijing Yanjing Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Beijing Yanjing is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Beijing Yanjing's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Beijing Yanjing Brewery, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Beijing Yanjing within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.5
σ
Overall volatility
0.53
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Beijing Yanjing Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Beijing Yanjing for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Beijing Yanjing Brewery can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Beijing Yanjing Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Beijing Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Beijing Yanjing's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Beijing Yanjing's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.8 B
Cash And Short Term Investments7.2 B

Beijing Yanjing Technical Analysis

Beijing Yanjing's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Beijing Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Beijing Yanjing Brewery. In general, you should focus on analyzing Beijing Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Beijing Yanjing Predictive Forecast Models

Beijing Yanjing's time-series forecasting models is one of many Beijing Yanjing's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Beijing Yanjing's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Beijing Yanjing Brewery

Checking the ongoing alerts about Beijing Yanjing for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Beijing Yanjing Brewery help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Other Information on Investing in Beijing Stock

Beijing Yanjing financial ratios help investors to determine whether Beijing Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Beijing with respect to the benefits of owning Beijing Yanjing security.