Shenwu Energy (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.06
| 000820 Stock | 3.80 0.10 2.70% |
Shenwu |
Shenwu Energy Target Price Odds to finish over 3.06
The tendency of Shenwu Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 3.06 in 90 days |
| 3.80 | 90 days | 3.06 | about 57.69 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Shenwu Energy to stay above 3.06 in 90 days from now is about 57.69 (This Shenwu Energy Saving probability density function shows the probability of Shenwu Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Shenwu Energy Saving price to stay between 3.06 and its current price of 3.8 at the end of the 90-day period is about 39.56 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Shenwu Energy Saving has a beta of -0.26. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Shenwu Energy are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Shenwu Energy Saving is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Shenwu Energy Saving has an alpha of 0.724, implying that it can generate a 0.72 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Shenwu Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Shenwu Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shenwu Energy Saving. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Shenwu Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Shenwu Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Shenwu Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Shenwu Energy Saving, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Shenwu Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.72 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.26 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.67 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.14 |
Shenwu Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Shenwu Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Shenwu Energy Saving can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Shenwu Energy Saving appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Shenwu Energy Saving has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 157.13 M. Net Loss for the year was (17.04 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 22.77 M. | |
| About 44.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Shenwu Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Shenwu Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Shenwu Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Shenwu Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 637.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 18.5 M |
Shenwu Energy Technical Analysis
Shenwu Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Shenwu Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Shenwu Energy Saving. In general, you should focus on analyzing Shenwu Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Shenwu Energy Predictive Forecast Models
Shenwu Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Shenwu Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Shenwu Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Shenwu Energy Saving
Checking the ongoing alerts about Shenwu Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Shenwu Energy Saving help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Shenwu Energy Saving appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Shenwu Energy Saving has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 157.13 M. Net Loss for the year was (17.04 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 22.77 M. | |
| About 44.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Shenwu Stock
Shenwu Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Shenwu Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Shenwu with respect to the benefits of owning Shenwu Energy security.